Background Annually, 4% of the global population undergoes non-cardiac surgery, with 30% of those patients having at least ...

Think certain investors are geniuses? Buffett argues they're just lucky monkeys. Discover why the Oracle of Omaha argues that ...

Background The relationship of social determinants of health (SDOH), environmental exposures and medical history to lung function trajectories is underexplored. A better understanding of these ...

What’s often misunderstood about Google’s incrementality testing and how Bayesian models use probability to guide better decisions.

Physicists have derived a quantum version of Bayes’ rule, revealing how beliefs and probabilities update in the quantum realm with potential applications in computing and beyond. Credit: Shutterstock ...

How do you shape perception ethically when storytelling beats facts? One compelling framework that offers clarity is Bayesian persuasion, introduced by economists Kamenica and Gentzkow in 2011, —a ...

Imagine you take a flu test. Before the result, you already have a guess, maybe you feel a bit unwell, so you think the chance is 50–50. When the test comes back positive, you don’t throw away your ...

Abstract: We use Markov categories to generalize the basic theory of Markov chains and hidden Markov models to an abstract setting. This comprises characterizations of hidden Markov models in terms of ...

Investigators are hoping to find clues as to why the Bayesian superyacht sank off the coast of Sicily 10 months ago, killing seven people. By Emma Bubola and Jeffrey Gettleman The hull of the Bayesian ...

In a world of uncertainty and shifting narratives, this post proposes a new model for investing: Bayesian edge investing. Unlike modern portfolio theory, which assumes equilibrium and perfect ...