Traders on the prediction-market platform Kalshi are now assigning a meaningful probability to the scenario in which all three major Election Day winners come from the Democratic Party. The prediction ...
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Virginia 2025 Election Prediction: Analyst says governor’s race data tells 'clear story'
Election forecaster Chaz Nuttycombe predicts Democrat Abigail Spanberger has a 98% chance of winning Virginia’s governor’s race, calling it the least competitive in over a decade. His model also ...
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Polymarket and Kalshi lead prediction markets in two years of explosive growth
Polymarket, one of the leading prediction markets, outperforms more than 85% of crypto protocols in user retention, according ...
The network is giving Kalshi, a volatile and easily gamed prediction market, authority it once reserved for actual polling.
Prediction markets have grown rapidly, enabling wagers on a variety of subjects, including politics and sports. Their rise has not gone unopposed. Prediction markets have surged, especially post-2024 ...
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